Week 10 puts 24 of the top 25 on the field in 17 games. Friday’s Arizona–TCU game begins the selected-team slate; Saturday finishes with Texas Tech hosting West Virginia. Indiana has a bye.
Reading the numbers
Records, Power rank and Elo rank remain visible above each matchup chart. Use Unit to switch offense and defense and Measure to switch per-game and adjusted scoring. Both teams share the same chart scale; expand View all matchup data for the frozen table. Per-game points scored and allowed divide pointsFor and pointsAgainst by wins plus losses plus ties.
Adjusted scoring measures points per game relative to an opponent benchmark. Higher is better for both adjusted offense and adjusted defense: a higher defensive figure means holding opponents below their scoring benchmark. Lower raw points allowed is better. The matching FBS source has no consistent rushing, passing or total-yardage data, so this preview uses scoring only. These comparisons are not projected scores, point spreads, probabilities or injury reports.
This week’s top 25
All kickoff times are Eastern. The NCAA Week 10 schedule was checked November 5; the SEC schedule, ACC Week 10 release, Big Ten schedules, and Utah’s Big 12 schedule corroborate relevant dates, sites and times.
| Power rank | School | Week 10 assignment |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | at Ole Miss · Sat. 7:30 PM |
| 2 | Miami (FL) | at Notre Dame · Sat. 7:30 PM |
| 3 | Alabama | at LSU · Sat. 3:30 PM |
| 4 | LSU | vs. Alabama · Sat. 3:30 PM |
| 5 | Texas | at Missouri · Sat. noon |
| 6 | Kentucky | at Tennessee · Sat. 6:15 PM |
| 7 | Ole Miss | vs. Georgia · Sat. 7:30 PM |
| 8 | Utah | vs. BYU · Sat. noon |
| 9 | UCLA | at Minnesota · Sat. noon |
| 10 | Tennessee | vs. Kentucky · Sat. 6:15 PM |
| 11 | South Carolina | vs. Texas A&M · Sat. 3:00 PM |
| 12 | Notre Dame | vs. Miami (FL) · Sat. 7:30 PM |
| 13 | Florida | vs. Oklahoma · Sat. 7:45 PM |
| 14 | Indiana | Bye |
| 15 | Ohio State | vs. Oregon · Sat. 3:30 PM |
| 16 | Wake Forest | vs. Merrimack (FCS) · Sat. 3:30 PM |
| 17 | Missouri | vs. Texas · Sat. noon |
| 18 | BYU | at Utah · Sat. noon |
| 19 | Mississippi State | vs. Vanderbilt · Sat. 4:15 PM |
| 20 | Oklahoma | at Florida · Sat. 7:45 PM |
| 21 | Iowa | at Northwestern · Sat. 7:30 PM |
| 22 | Auburn | vs. Arkansas · Sat. 12:45 PM |
| 23 | Texas Tech | vs. West Virginia · Sat. 8:30 PM |
| 24 | Arizona | vs. TCU · Fri. 10:15 PM |
| 25 | Houston | vs. Cincinnati · Sat. 3:30 PM |
Matchup previews
TCU at Arizona
Friday, November 6 · 10:15 PM ET · Tucson, Arizona · Arizona Stadium
Arizona owns the better offense and raw scoring-defense marks; TCU’s +13.952 adjusted defense is the game’s standout counterweight.
| Comparison | TCU | Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 4–4–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 52 | 24 |
| Elo rank | 56 | 23 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 23.25 | 34.88 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -10.095 | +5.701 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 14.13 | 18.88 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +13.952 | +7.020 |
TCU’s path to victory: Preserve the exceptional defense and find enough offensive improvement to keep Arizona from playing on its preferred terms.
Arizona’s path to victory: Make its sizable adjusted-offense advantage count while avoiding the short fields that would let TCU’s defense dictate the game.
BYU at Utah
Saturday, November 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Salt Lake City, Utah · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Utah has the stronger raw offense and lower points allowed, while BYU’s adjusted defense is slightly higher.
| Comparison | BYU | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 7–1–0 | 8–0–0 |
| Power rank | 18 | 8 |
| Elo rank | 17 | 8 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 32.38 | 38.88 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +1.864 | +8.810 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 18.75 | 15.88 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +9.459 | +8.738 |
BYU’s path to victory: Let its defense keep Utah below its 38.88-point pace, then turn a modest adjusted offense into efficient finishing drives.
Utah’s path to victory: Pair the stronger scoring offense with the lower raw points-allowed rate and make BYU chase longer fields.
UCLA at Minnesota
Saturday, November 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Minneapolis, Minnesota · Huntington Bank Stadium
UCLA’s 13.38 points allowed and +11.167 adjusted defense give the unbeaten visitors a clear two-way edge.
| Comparison | UCLA | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 8–0–0 | 5–3–0 |
| Power rank | 9 | 31 |
| Elo rank | 9 | 32 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 33.50 | 25.25 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +5.185 | -3.575 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 13.38 | 20.50 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +11.167 | +1.837 |
UCLA’s path to victory: Turn the defense into a long-drive requirement and let its positive offense build the possession margin.
Minnesota’s path to victory: Improve markedly on its adjusted offensive baseline and prevent UCLA from converting defensive stops into short fields.
Texas at Missouri
Saturday, November 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Columbia, Missouri · Memorial Stadium
Texas brings the stronger adjusted defense; Missouri’s 18.38 points allowed and +9.310 defensive adjustment make the home defense a serious test.
| Comparison | Texas | Missouri |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 6–2–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 5 | 17 |
| Elo rank | 4 | 18 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 30.75 | 31.50 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +6.643 | +1.969 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 17.13 | 18.38 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +16.491 | +9.310 |
Texas’s path to victory: Use the decisive adjusted-defense edge to make Missouri’s modest offense win long possessions.
Missouri’s path to victory: Keep the defensive profile intact at home and turn its small raw scoring edge into enough finished drives.
Arkansas at Auburn
Saturday, November 7 · 12:45 PM ET · Auburn, Alabama · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Auburn has the better figure in every available scoring comparison, especially a +5.042 adjusted defense against Arkansas’s negative profile.
| Comparison | Arkansas | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 3–5–0 | 4–4–0 |
| Power rank | 51 | 22 |
| Elo rank | 55 | 24 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 19.63 | 24.13 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -4.286 | +0.298 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 27.63 | 26.75 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -0.095 | +5.042 |
Arkansas’s path to victory: Raise its offense above the negative adjusted mark and avoid allowing Auburn’s defense to create repeated advantageous possessions.
Auburn’s path to victory: Use the defense to hold Arkansas below its already-low scoring rate, then stay efficient enough to separate.
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Saturday, November 7 · 3:00 PM ET · Columbia, South Carolina · Williams-Brice Stadium
South Carolina’s +11.827 adjusted offense is the clearest unit edge, while Texas A&M’s defense gives it a route to slow the game.
| Comparison | Texas A&M | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 4–4–0 | 5–3–0 |
| Power rank | 28 | 11 |
| Elo rank | 31 | 12 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 28.25 | 36.88 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +1.082 | +11.827 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 18.88 | 25.25 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +7.684 | -0.146 |
Texas A&M’s path to victory: Let the defense force South Carolina away from its high adjusted standard and finish enough of its own possessions.
South Carolina’s path to victory: Sustain its productive offense against the tougher defense and avoid allowing the game to become a field-position contest.
Alabama at LSU
Saturday, November 7 · 3:30 PM ET · Baton Rouge, Louisiana · Tiger Stadium
Both teams are top-five in the local power and Elo tables. LSU has the lower raw points allowed and stronger adjusted defense; Alabama has the higher adjusted offense.
| Comparison | Alabama | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 6–2–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 3 | 4 |
| Elo rank | 5 | 3 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 38.25 | 40.13 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +15.982 | +13.854 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 21.25 | 16.00 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +9.935 | +12.966 |
Alabama’s path to victory: Let the +15.982 adjusted offense remain efficient against the best defensive figure it has faced in this comparison.
LSU’s path to victory: Keep the 16.00-point raw defense and +12.966 adjustment intact, then make its own 40-point offense finish drives.
Oregon at Ohio State
Saturday, November 7 · 3:30 PM ET · Columbus, Ohio · Ohio Stadium
Ohio State’s raw and adjusted offense are stronger, while both defenses have held opponents close to 21 points or fewer.
| Comparison | Oregon | Ohio State |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 5–3–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 26 | 15 |
| Elo rank | 26 | 14 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 33.25 | 36.63 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +4.533 | +13.131 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 21.38 | 15.50 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +10.093 | +10.442 |
Oregon’s path to victory: Use its nearly equal adjusted defense to keep Ohio State from repeatedly finishing drives, then create offense above its +4.533 norm.
Ohio State’s path to victory: Let the +13.131 adjusted offense press the matchup’s biggest scoring edge while retaining its lower raw points allowed.
Cincinnati at Houston
Saturday, November 7 · 3:30 PM ET · Houston, Texas · TDECU Stadium
Houston’s +9.738 adjusted defense is the key difference against Cincinnati’s -2.071 defensive adjustment.
| Comparison | Cincinnati | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 5–3–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 37 | 25 |
| Elo rank | 39 | 25 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 34.13 | 36.00 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +5.786 | +6.500 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 29.25 | 21.00 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -2.071 | +9.738 |
Cincinnati’s path to victory: Make its capable offense finish above Houston’s defensive standard and avoid granting extra possessions.
Houston’s path to victory: Turn the substantial defensive edge into stops, then use its slight adjusted-offense edge to build separation.
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Saturday, November 7 · 4:15 PM ET · Starkville, Mississippi · Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State has the stronger offensive figures and a positive defensive adjustment; Vanderbilt must improve on both negative adjusted marks.
| Comparison | Vanderbilt | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 3–5–0 | 4–4–0 |
| Power rank | 58 | 19 |
| Elo rank | 59 | 21 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 22.75 | 26.63 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -4.823 | +4.682 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 30.25 | 28.13 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -5.156 | +0.848 |
Vanderbilt’s path to victory: Reverse the negative offensive and defensive adjustments by limiting Mississippi State’s scoring opportunities.
Mississippi State’s path to victory: Make the positive adjusted offense the steady difference and keep Vanderbilt near its low raw scoring rate.
Kentucky at Tennessee
Saturday, November 7 · 6:15 PM ET · Knoxville, Tennessee · Neyland Stadium
Kentucky has the better adjusted offense, but Tennessee’s 16.25 points allowed and +11.068 adjusted defense are the matchup’s strongest defensive measures.
| Comparison | Kentucky | Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 7–1–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 6 | 10 |
| Elo rank | 6 | 11 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 32.88 | 32.25 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +6.990 | +2.854 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 24.75 | 16.25 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +4.772 | +11.068 |
Kentucky’s path to victory: Keep its offense above the +6.990 adjusted standard against Tennessee’s elite defense and avoid a field-position deficit.
Tennessee’s path to victory: Let the defense lower Kentucky’s scoring efficiency, then use enough offense to make the raw defensive gap decisive.
Iowa at Northwestern
Saturday, November 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Evanston, Illinois · Ryan Field
Iowa’s 12.50 points allowed and +11.048 adjusted defense meet Northwestern’s +7.837 adjusted offense.
| Comparison | Iowa | Northwestern |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 6–2–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 21 | 30 |
| Elo rank | 20 | 29 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 28.25 | 33.63 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +1.299 | +7.837 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 12.50 | 18.75 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +11.048 | +5.245 |
Iowa’s path to victory: Turn the lower raw scoring defense into a long-drive game and find enough offensive efficiency to support it.
Northwestern’s path to victory: Sustain the stronger adjusted offense against Iowa’s defense and avoid allowing the contest to narrow to a few short fields.
Georgia at Ole Miss
Saturday, November 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Oxford, Mississippi · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Georgia has the higher raw scoring rate and better defense; Ole Miss brings a +12.164 adjusted offense that can test that profile.
| Comparison | Georgia | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 7–1–0 | 6–2–0 |
| Power rank | 1 | 7 |
| Elo rank | 2 | 7 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 41.00 | 37.13 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +11.129 | +12.164 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 14.88 | 24.00 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +9.660 | +5.631 |
Georgia’s path to victory: Keep the game defined by the defensive edge and turn its 41-point offense into steady finishing drives.
Ole Miss’s path to victory: Let the slightly better adjusted offense carry over against Georgia’s defense and prevent the raw-points-allowed gap from taking over.
Miami (FL) at Notre Dame
Saturday, November 7 · 7:30 PM ET · South Bend, Indiana · Notre Dame Stadium
Miami brings the nation-leading local Elo rank and a +18.507 adjusted offense; Notre Dame counters with a 13.38-point raw defense and +11.363 defensive adjustment.
| Comparison | Miami (FL) | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 8–0–0 | 7–1–0 |
| Power rank | 2 | 12 |
| Elo rank | 1 | 10 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 47.63 | 40.38 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +18.507 | +13.027 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 17.75 | 13.38 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +7.486 | +11.363 |
Miami’s path to victory: Sustain its high-end offense against the toughest raw scoring defense in the matchup and avoid wasting possessions.
Notre Dame’s path to victory: Let the defense pull Miami below its usual output, then make a 40.38-point offense capitalize on the reduced margin.
Oklahoma at Florida
Saturday, November 7 · 7:45 PM ET · Gainesville, Florida · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Florida’s +10.238 adjusted offense contrasts sharply with Oklahoma’s -1.315, although Oklahoma’s defense owns the stronger adjusted rating.
| Comparison | Oklahoma | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 4–4–0 | 5–3–0 |
| Power rank | 20 | 13 |
| Elo rank | 22 | 16 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 22.00 | 35.63 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -1.315 | +10.238 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 20.75 | 28.13 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +8.128 | +0.925 |
Oklahoma’s path to victory: Use the superior adjusted defense to pull Florida below its strong offensive baseline and find a cleaner offensive day.
Florida’s path to victory: Maintain the large scoring edge without handing Oklahoma’s defense short fields or extra possessions.
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Saturday, November 7 · 8:30 PM ET · Lubbock, Texas · Galaxy Stadium
Both offenses are strong, but Texas Tech’s +4.500 adjusted defense contrasts with West Virginia’s -9.357.
| Comparison | West Virginia | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W–L–T) | 5–3–0 | 7–1–0 |
| Power rank | 46 | 23 |
| Elo rank | 49 | 19 |
| Offense | ||
| Points — per game | 35.88 | 35.63 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | +8.830 | +9.690 |
| Defense | ||
| Points allowed — per game | 32.25 | 21.13 |
| Adjusted scoring — per game | -9.357 | +4.500 |
West Virginia’s path to victory: Make its strong adjusted offense finish efficiently enough to overcome the defensive gap and avoid a high-possession trade.
Texas Tech’s path to victory: Let the superior defense lower West Virginia’s output, then use its own +9.690 offense to turn stops into separation.
Frozen-source note
The local FBS power rankings, Elo ratings and adjusted-scoring table are all frozen here at the November 1 Week 9 cutoff even if their pages update later. Merrimack’s record and FCS-specific ranks come from the matching local FCS power rankings and FCS Elo ratings, also dated November 1. No selected team has a Thursday game, so there is no already-played selected-team result to report.