Indian River and Maury lead both models in their regions from outside the No. 1 seed. In Region 5D, the team ranked second in both models has to play in the opening round.

Power ratings, Elo and records come from the Beyond the Standings Week 11 rankings. The ranks below are recalculated among each region’s playoff teams. Pairings follow the published opening-round schedule.

Highest-rated teams outside the bracket

Meadowbrook (6-4) was the highest-rated Class 5 team to miss the bracket in both models, ranking 16th in power and 18th in Elo. It was seventh in power and fifth in Elo in Region 5C. Matoaca (3-7) was also eighth in 5C power, and Briar Woods (4-6) was seventh in both measures in six-team Region 5D.

Region 5A

Indian River is unbeaten and leads both models from the No. 2 seed. No. 6 Hickory has the third-best power rating, but Cox has a sizable Elo edge in their opening matchup.

Seed differences of two or more places. No. 4 Salem-Virginia Beach (power #7, Elo #4), No. 6 Hickory (power #3, Elo #7), No. 8 Great Bridge (power #5, Elo #8).

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Green Run 9-1 116.069 (2) 1659.788 (2)
No. 2 Indian River 10-0 125.756 (1) 1683.466 (1)
No. 3 Frank Cox 8-2 109.682 (4) 1616.112 (3)
No. 4 Salem-Virginia Beach 7-3 106.914 (7) 1592.846 (4)
No. 5 Floyd Kellam 8-2 109.145 (6) 1560.457 (5)
No. 6 Hickory 7-3 111.770 (3) 1520.978 (7)
No. 7 Bayside 6-4 104.180 (8) 1541.625 (6)
No. 8 Great Bridge 5-5 109.513 (5) 1505.603 (8)

First round

No. 8 Great Bridge vs. No. 1 Green Run

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8 Great Bridge (5-5) 109.513 (5) 1505.603 (8) vs. No. 1 Green Run (9-1) 116.069 (2) 1659.788 (2)

No. 7 Bayside vs. No. 2 Indian River

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7 Bayside (6-4) 104.180 (8) 1541.625 (6) vs. No. 2 Indian River (10-0) 125.756 (1) 1683.466 (1)

No. 6 Hickory vs. No. 3 Frank Cox

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Hickory (7-3) 111.770 (3) 1520.978 (7) vs. No. 3 Frank Cox (8-2) 109.682 (4) 1616.112 (3)

No. 5 Floyd Kellam vs. No. 4 Salem-Virginia Beach

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Floyd Kellam (8-2) 109.145 (6) 1560.457 (5) vs. No. 4 Salem-Virginia Beach (7-3) 106.914 (7) 1592.846 (4)

Region 5B

Bethel brings an unbeaten record and just 16 points allowed in ten games. No. 3 Maury leads both models, with King’s Fork second in power and Bethel second in Elo.

Seed differences of two or more places. No. 1 Bethel (power #3, Elo #2), No. 3 Maury (power #1, Elo #1).

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Bethel 10-0 119.894 (3) 1650.398 (2)
No. 2 King’s Fork 8-1 120.851 (2) 1634.576 (3)
No. 3 Maury 8-2 121.463 (1) 1708.846 (1)
No. 4 Warwick 7-3 110.708 (5) 1614.397 (4)
No. 5 Nansemond River 5-4 110.781 (4) 1538.283 (5)
No. 6 Norview 5-5 104.147 (6) 1483.289 (6)
No. 7 Woodside 3-7 98.612 (7) 1418.448 (7)
No. 8 Granby 3-7 98.535 (8) 1401.804 (8)

First round

No. 8 Granby vs. No. 1 Bethel

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8 Granby (3-7) 98.535 (8) 1401.804 (8) vs. No. 1 Bethel (10-0) 119.894 (3) 1650.398 (2)

No. 7 Woodside vs. No. 2 King’s Fork

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7 Woodside (3-7) 98.612 (7) 1418.448 (7) vs. No. 2 King’s Fork (8-1) 120.851 (2) 1634.576 (3)

No. 6 Norview vs. No. 3 Maury

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Norview (5-5) 104.147 (6) 1483.289 (6) vs. No. 3 Maury (8-2) 121.463 (1) 1708.846 (1)

No. 5 Nansemond River vs. No. 4 Warwick

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Nansemond River (5-4) 110.781 (4) 1538.283 (5) vs. No. 4 Warwick (7-3) 110.708 (5) 1614.397 (4)

Region 5C

Highland Springs leads power, while No. 3 Patrick Henry of Roanoke leads Elo. Fourth-seeded Hermitage also rates ahead of No. 2 Midlothian in Elo, giving the Nos. 3 and 4 seeds two of the three highest Elo ratings.

Seed differences of two or more places. No. 2 Midlothian (power #2, Elo #4), No. 3 Patrick Henry-Roanoke (power #4, Elo #1), No. 7 William Fleming (power #8, Elo #5).

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Highland Springs 8-2 120.816 (1) 1655.157 (2)
No. 2 Midlothian 9-1 118.717 (2) 1630.035 (4)
No. 3 Patrick Henry-Roanoke 9-1 114.088 (4) 1665.051 (1)
No. 4 Hermitage 7-3 117.111 (3) 1636.436 (3)
No. 5 Glen Allen 6-4 112.267 (5) 1532.728 (6)
No. 6 Douglas Freeman 7-3 111.769 (6) 1525.095 (7)
No. 7 William Fleming 5-5 104.171 (8) 1535.867 (5)
No. 8 James River-Midlothian 6-4 108.146 (7) 1498.848 (8)

First round

No. 8 James River-Midlothian vs. No. 1 Highland Springs

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8 James River-Midlothian (6-4) 108.146 (7) 1498.848 (8) vs. No. 1 Highland Springs (8-2) 120.816 (1) 1655.157 (2)

No. 7 William Fleming vs. No. 2 Midlothian

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7 William Fleming (5-5) 104.171 (8) 1535.867 (5) vs. No. 2 Midlothian (9-1) 118.717 (2) 1630.035 (4)

No. 6 Douglas Freeman vs. No. 3 Patrick Henry-Roanoke

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Douglas Freeman (7-3) 111.769 (6) 1525.095 (7) vs. No. 3 Patrick Henry-Roanoke (9-1) 114.088 (4) 1665.051 (1)

No. 5 Glen Allen vs. No. 4 Hermitage

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Glen Allen (6-4) 112.267 (5) 1532.728 (6) vs. No. 4 Hermitage (7-3) 117.111 (3) 1636.436 (3)

Region 5D

Stone Bridge leads both ratings and has a bye. Riverbend is second in both but opens against Potomac Falls, while No. 2 Lightridge advances directly to the semifinals.

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Stone Bridge 9-1 121.763 (1) 1659.251 (1)
No. 2 Lightridge 9-1 113.037 (3) 1576.002 (3)
No. 3 Riverbend 8-2 114.395 (2) 1649.379 (2)
No. 4 John Champe 7-3 108.630 (4) 1563.202 (4)
No. 5 Massaponax 5-5 105.358 (5) 1492.824 (6)
No. 6 Potomac Falls 5-5 104.904 (6) 1538.737 (5)

First round

First-round byes. No. 1 Stone Bridge and No. 2 Lightridge.

No. 6 Potomac Falls vs. No. 3 Riverbend

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Potomac Falls (5-5) 104.904 (6) 1538.737 (5) vs. No. 3 Riverbend (8-2) 114.395 (2) 1649.379 (2)

No. 5 Massaponax vs. No. 4 John Champe

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Massaponax (5-5) 105.358 (5) 1492.824 (6) vs. No. 4 John Champe (7-3) 108.630 (4) 1563.202 (4)