A region-by-region look at the 2026 VHSL Class 4 football playoff opening round.
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Jefferson Forest and Varina lead both models in their regions from the No. 2 seed. In Region 4A, three of the top four seeds are packed within three-tenths of a power-rating point.
Dinwiddie (2-8) ranked 19th in Class 4 power and sixth in Region 4B, where it was ninth in Elo. Atlee (4-6) had the eighth-best Elo and ninth-best power rating in that same region. Blacksburg (5-5) was eighth in Region 4D Elo and tenth in power. These Week 11 ranks include every team in the referenced class or region.
Region 4A
Lafayette is first by a clear margin in both models. Warhill, Smithfield and Phoebus are within three-tenths of a power-rating point, with Warhill also leading that group in Elo.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 2 Phoebus (power #4, Elo #3), No. 5 Denbigh (power #7, Elo #7), No. 7 Hampton (power #5, Elo #5).
Seed
School
Record
Power
Elo
No. 1
Lafayette
8-1
112.362 (1)
1673.399 (1)
No. 2
Phoebus
7-3
107.784 (4)
1573.196 (3)
No. 3
Warhill
7-3
108.063 (2)
1585.579 (2)
No. 4
Smithfield
7-3
107.906 (3)
1572.331 (4)
No. 5
Denbigh
6-4
103.749 (7)
1505.430 (7)
No. 6
Churchland
5-5
104.603 (6)
1519.296 (6)
No. 7
Hampton
5-5
104.677 (5)
1557.621 (5)
No. 8
Grafton
4-6
100.384 (8)
1452.127 (8)
First round
No. 8 Grafton vs. No. 1 Lafayette
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8
Grafton (4-6)
100.384 (8)
1452.127 (8)
vs.
No. 1
Lafayette (8-1)
112.362 (1)
1673.399 (1)
No. 7 Hampton vs. No. 2 Phoebus
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7
Hampton (5-5)
104.677 (5)
1557.621 (5)
vs.
No. 2
Phoebus (7-3)
107.784 (4)
1573.196 (3)
No. 6 Churchland vs. No. 3 Warhill
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6
Churchland (5-5)
104.603 (6)
1519.296 (6)
vs.
No. 3
Warhill (7-3)
108.063 (2)
1585.579 (2)
No. 5 Denbigh vs. No. 4 Smithfield
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5
Denbigh (6-4)
103.749 (7)
1505.430 (7)
vs.
No. 4
Smithfield (7-3)
107.906 (3)
1572.331 (4)
Region 4B
Varina and Huguenot outrank unbeaten No. 1 seed Louisa County in both models. Farther down the bracket, No. 8 Hanover sits fifth in power and draws Louisa in the opening round.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 8 Hanover (power #5, Elo #7), No. 1 Louisa County (power #3, Elo #3).
Seed
School
Record
Power
Elo
No. 1
Louisa County
10-0
113.129 (3)
1673.509 (3)
No. 2
Varina
8-1-1
124.441 (1)
1706.451 (1)
No. 3
Huguenot
9-1
121.186 (2)
1675.654 (2)
No. 4
Courtland
8-2
107.870 (4)
1636.885 (4)
No. 5
Mechanicsville
8-2
104.977 (6)
1524.501 (6)
No. 6
Spotsylvania
6-4
104.410 (7)
1563.643 (5)
No. 7
King George
6-4
100.655 (8)
1445.998 (8)
No. 8
Hanover
5-5
107.054 (5)
1517.662 (7)
First round
No. 8 Hanover vs. No. 1 Louisa County
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8
Hanover (5-5)
107.054 (5)
1517.662 (7)
vs.
No. 1
Louisa County (10-0)
113.129 (3)
1673.509 (3)
No. 7 King George vs. No. 2 Varina
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7
King George (6-4)
100.655 (8)
1445.998 (8)
vs.
No. 2
Varina (8-1-1)
124.441 (1)
1706.451 (1)
No. 6 Spotsylvania vs. No. 3 Huguenot
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6
Spotsylvania (6-4)
104.410 (7)
1563.643 (5)
vs.
No. 3
Huguenot (9-1)
121.186 (2)
1675.654 (2)
No. 5 Mechanicsville vs. No. 4 Courtland
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5
Mechanicsville (8-2)
104.977 (6)
1524.501 (6)
vs.
No. 4
Courtland (8-2)
107.870 (4)
1636.885 (4)
Region 4C
Woodgrove and Loudoun Valley earn byes and lead both ratings in that order. The models split on the next two teams, with a narrow power edge for Heritage and a substantially higher Elo for Loudoun County.
Seed
School
Record
Power
Elo
No. 1
Woodgrove
9-1
117.854 (1)
1653.358 (1)
No. 2
Loudoun Valley
9-1
112.931 (2)
1635.997 (2)
No. 3
Loudoun County
6-4
108.004 (4)
1583.934 (3)
No. 4
Heritage-Leesburg
7-3
108.274 (3)
1531.312 (4)
No. 5
Broad Run
4-6
101.014 (5)
1445.183 (5)
No. 6
Tuscarora
3-7
96.909 (6)
1429.336 (6)
First round
First-round byes. No. 1 Woodgrove and No. 2 Loudoun Valley.
No. 6 Tuscarora vs. No. 3 Loudoun County
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6
Tuscarora (3-7)
96.909 (6)
1429.336 (6)
vs.
No. 3
Loudoun County (6-4)
108.004 (4)
1583.934 (3)
No. 5 Broad Run vs. No. 4 Heritage-Leesburg
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
vs.
Seed
School
Power Rating (Rank)
Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5
Broad Run (4-6)
101.014 (5)
1445.183 (5)
vs.
No. 4
Heritage-Leesburg (7-3)
108.274 (3)
1531.312 (4)
Region 4D
Three unbeaten teams enter the bracket. Jefferson Forest leads both models, Sherando sits second in both, and top-seeded George Washington is third in Elo and fifth in power.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 1 George Washington (power #5, Elo #3), No. 5 Salem (power #3, Elo #5).