Two No. 4 seeds are worth a closer look. Liberty Christian leads Region 3C in power, and Skyline is second in Region 3B in Elo.
Power ratings, Elo and records come from the Beyond the Standings Week 11 rankings. The ranks below are recalculated among each region’s playoff teams. Pairings follow the published opening-round schedule.
Highest-rated teams outside the bracket
Brookville (7-3) ranked 15th in Class 3 power and 19th in Elo. It was sixth in power and seventh in Elo in Region 3C. Northside (5-5) also missed the cut in Region 3D despite ranking seventh in power and fifth in Elo.
Region 3A
Petersburg leads both measures. Lake Taylor is the biggest Elo riser in the bracket, ranking third from the No. 7 seed and edging its first-round opponent, Hopewell, in that model.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 7 Lake Taylor (power #6, Elo #3), No. 3 Booker T. Washington (power #3, Elo #6), No. 5 New Kent (power #5, Elo #2), No. 2 Hopewell (power #2, Elo #4), No. 6 Colonial Heights (power #7, Elo #8).
| Seed |
School |
Record |
Power |
Elo |
| No. 1 |
Petersburg |
8-1 |
120.778 (1) |
1633.182 (1) |
| No. 2 |
Hopewell |
7-3 |
115.712 (2) |
1562.832 (4) |
| No. 3 |
Booker T. Washington |
8-2 |
108.037 (3) |
1500.156 (6) |
| No. 4 |
Tabb |
7-3 |
107.768 (4) |
1559.998 (5) |
| No. 5 |
New Kent |
7-3 |
107.540 (5) |
1579.269 (2) |
| No. 6 |
Colonial Heights |
4-6 |
102.910 (7) |
1417.695 (8) |
| No. 7 |
Lake Taylor |
5-5 |
103.620 (6) |
1566.884 (3) |
| No. 8 |
I.C. Norcom |
3-7 |
101.425 (8) |
1439.215 (7) |
First round
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 8 |
I.C. Norcom (3-7) |
101.425 (8) |
1439.215 (7) |
vs. |
No. 1 |
Petersburg (8-1) |
120.778 (1) |
1633.182 (1) |
No. 7 Lake Taylor vs. No. 2 Hopewell
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 7 |
Lake Taylor (5-5) |
103.620 (6) |
1566.884 (3) |
vs. |
No. 2 |
Hopewell (7-3) |
115.712 (2) |
1562.832 (4) |
No. 6 Colonial Heights vs. No. 3 Booker T. Washington
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 6 |
Colonial Heights (4-6) |
102.910 (7) |
1417.695 (8) |
vs. |
No. 3 |
Booker T. Washington (8-2) |
108.037 (3) |
1500.156 (6) |
No. 5 New Kent vs. No. 4 Tabb
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 5 |
New Kent (7-3) |
107.540 (5) |
1579.269 (2) |
vs. |
No. 4 |
Tabb (7-3) |
107.768 (4) |
1559.998 (5) |
Region 3B
Kettle Run tops both ratings from the No. 2 seed. Top-seeded Culpeper County ranks second in power and third in Elo, just behind fourth-seeded Skyline in the latter.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 8 Brentsville (power #6, Elo #5), No. 1 Culpeper County (power #2, Elo #3), No. 4 Skyline (power #4, Elo #2), No. 5 Meridian (power #7, Elo #6).
| Seed |
School |
Record |
Power |
Elo |
| No. 1 |
Culpeper County |
8-2 |
104.502 (2) |
1577.003 (3) |
| No. 2 |
Kettle Run |
8-2 |
106.601 (1) |
1639.578 (1) |
| No. 3 |
Warren County |
7-3 |
102.910 (3) |
1500.087 (4) |
| No. 4 |
Skyline |
6-4 |
102.511 (4) |
1578.289 (2) |
| No. 5 |
Meridian |
5-5 |
96.860 (7) |
1469.621 (6) |
| No. 6 |
Goochland |
4-6 |
99.477 (5) |
1466.234 (7) |
| No. 7 |
James Monroe |
4-6 |
94.989 (8) |
1435.174 (8) |
| No. 8 |
Brentsville |
4-6 |
97.275 (6) |
1474.798 (5) |
First round
No. 8 Brentsville vs. No. 1 Culpeper County
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 8 |
Brentsville (4-6) |
97.275 (6) |
1474.798 (5) |
vs. |
No. 1 |
Culpeper County (8-2) |
104.502 (2) |
1577.003 (3) |
No. 7 James Monroe vs. No. 2 Kettle Run
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 7 |
James Monroe (4-6) |
94.989 (8) |
1435.174 (8) |
vs. |
No. 2 |
Kettle Run (8-2) |
106.601 (1) |
1639.578 (1) |
No. 6 Goochland vs. No. 3 Warren County
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 6 |
Goochland (4-6) |
99.477 (5) |
1466.234 (7) |
vs. |
No. 3 |
Warren County (7-3) |
102.910 (3) |
1500.087 (4) |
No. 5 Meridian vs. No. 4 Skyline
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 5 |
Meridian (5-5) |
96.860 (7) |
1469.621 (6) |
vs. |
No. 4 |
Skyline (6-4) |
102.511 (4) |
1578.289 (2) |
Region 3C
Unbeaten Broadway leads Elo, with Turner Ashby less than two points behind. Liberty Christian leads power from the No. 4 seed, and also ranks third in Elo.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 4 Liberty Christian (power #1, Elo #3), No. 2 Fluvanna County (power #4, Elo #4), No. 6 Monticello (power #6, Elo #8), No. 8 Wilson Memorial (power #7, Elo #6).
| Seed |
School |
Record |
Power |
Elo |
| No. 1 |
Broadway |
10-0 |
114.087 (2) |
1680.710 (1) |
| No. 2 |
Fluvanna County |
9-1 |
108.930 (4) |
1624.793 (4) |
| No. 3 |
Turner Ashby |
9-1 |
110.745 (3) |
1679.161 (2) |
| No. 4 |
Liberty Christian |
9-1 |
116.135 (1) |
1669.088 (3) |
| No. 5 |
Heritage-Lynchburg |
6-4 |
107.359 (5) |
1601.384 (5) |
| No. 6 |
Monticello |
7-3 |
102.229 (6) |
1515.038 (8) |
| No. 7 |
East Rockingham |
7-3 |
100.870 (8) |
1540.428 (7) |
| No. 8 |
Wilson Memorial |
6-4 |
101.214 (7) |
1589.263 (6) |
First round
No. 8 Wilson Memorial vs. No. 1 Broadway
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 8 |
Wilson Memorial (6-4) |
101.214 (7) |
1589.263 (6) |
vs. |
No. 1 |
Broadway (10-0) |
114.087 (2) |
1680.710 (1) |
No. 7 East Rockingham vs. No. 2 Fluvanna County
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 7 |
East Rockingham (7-3) |
100.870 (8) |
1540.428 (7) |
vs. |
No. 2 |
Fluvanna County (9-1) |
108.930 (4) |
1624.793 (4) |
No. 6 Monticello vs. No. 3 Turner Ashby
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 6 |
Monticello (7-3) |
102.229 (6) |
1515.038 (8) |
vs. |
No. 3 |
Turner Ashby (9-1) |
110.745 (3) |
1679.161 (2) |
No. 5 Heritage-Lynchburg vs. No. 4 Liberty Christian
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 5 |
Heritage-Lynchburg (6-4) |
107.359 (5) |
1601.384 (5) |
vs. |
No. 4 |
Liberty Christian (9-1) |
116.135 (1) |
1669.088 (3) |
Region 3D
Unbeaten Carroll County and William Byrd are separated by just 0.034 in power. Magna Vista is close behind in power and leads both unbeaten teams in Elo.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 1 William Byrd (power #2, Elo #3), No. 3 Magna Vista (power #3, Elo #1), No. 6 Bassett (power #8, Elo #7), No. 8 Staunton River (power #6, Elo #6).
| Seed |
School |
Record |
Power |
Elo |
| No. 1 |
William Byrd |
10-0 |
112.082 (2) |
1646.630 (3) |
| No. 2 |
Carroll County |
10-0 |
112.116 (1) |
1662.826 (2) |
| No. 3 |
Magna Vista |
9-1 |
109.555 (3) |
1673.065 (1) |
| No. 4 |
Lord Botetourt |
5-5 |
102.595 (4) |
1552.360 (4) |
| No. 5 |
Cave Spring |
5-5 |
102.195 (5) |
1506.725 (5) |
| No. 6 |
Bassett |
5-5 |
96.164 (8) |
1471.369 (7) |
| No. 7 |
Tunstall |
5-5 |
96.819 (7) |
1451.216 (8) |
| No. 8 |
Staunton River |
5-5 |
99.916 (6) |
1479.439 (6) |
First round
No. 8 Staunton River vs. No. 1 William Byrd
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 8 |
Staunton River (5-5) |
99.916 (6) |
1479.439 (6) |
vs. |
No. 1 |
William Byrd (10-0) |
112.082 (2) |
1646.630 (3) |
No. 7 Tunstall vs. No. 2 Carroll County
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 7 |
Tunstall (5-5) |
96.819 (7) |
1451.216 (8) |
vs. |
No. 2 |
Carroll County (10-0) |
112.116 (1) |
1662.826 (2) |
No. 6 Bassett vs. No. 3 Magna Vista
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 6 |
Bassett (5-5) |
96.164 (8) |
1471.369 (7) |
vs. |
No. 3 |
Magna Vista (9-1) |
109.555 (3) |
1673.065 (1) |
No. 5 Cave Spring vs. No. 4 Lord Botetourt
| Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
vs. |
Seed |
School |
Power Rating (Rank) |
Elo Rating (Rank) |
| No. 5 |
Cave Spring (5-5) |
102.195 (5) |
1506.725 (5) |
vs. |
No. 4 |
Lord Botetourt (5-5) |
102.595 (4) |
1552.360 (4) |