Strasburg and Radford lead their regions in both ratings. Region 2D has four teams within 2.5 power-rating points, and Region 2A’s top seed shares the model lead with Poquoson.

Power ratings, Elo and records come from the Beyond the Standings Week 11 rankings. The ranks below are recalculated among each region’s playoff teams. Pairings follow the published opening-round schedule.

Highest-rated teams outside the bracket

Clarke County (3-7) ranked sixth in power and seventh in Elo in Region 2B, which took six teams. Lebanon (5-5) had the seventh-best Elo in Region 2D and ranked ninth in power, just outside the eight-team field by that measure.

Region 2A

Unbeaten Central Lunenburg leads in Elo, while Poquoson leads in power. No. 5 Thomas Jefferson has the third-best power rating and the lowest Elo in the bracket, making its matchup with Armstrong particularly hard to read.

Seed differences of two or more places. No. 5 Thomas Jefferson-Richmond (power #3, Elo #8), No. 3 King William (power #5, Elo #4), No. 4 Armstrong (power #4, Elo #2), No. 8 Randolph-Henry (power #8, Elo #6).

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Central Lunenburg 10-0 107.844 (2) 1676.078 (1)
No. 2 Poquoson 8-1 110.200 (1) 1636.695 (3)
No. 3 King William 8-2 102.962 (5) 1600.844 (4)
No. 4 Armstrong 8-2 106.374 (4) 1653.195 (2)
No. 5 Thomas Jefferson-Richmond 5-5 107.345 (3) 1539.117 (8)
No. 6 Southampton 7-3 99.807 (6) 1594.522 (5)
No. 7 Nottoway 6-4 96.568 (7) 1550.923 (7)
No. 8 Randolph-Henry 7-3 94.250 (8) 1561.231 (6)

First round

No. 8 Randolph-Henry vs. No. 1 Central Lunenburg

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8 Randolph-Henry (7-3) 94.250 (8) 1561.231 (6) vs. No. 1 Central Lunenburg (10-0) 107.844 (2) 1676.078 (1)

No. 7 Nottoway vs. No. 2 Poquoson

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7 Nottoway (6-4) 96.568 (7) 1550.923 (7) vs. No. 2 Poquoson (8-1) 110.200 (1) 1636.695 (3)

No. 6 Southampton vs. No. 3 King William

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Southampton (7-3) 99.807 (6) 1594.522 (5) vs. No. 3 King William (8-2) 102.962 (5) 1600.844 (4)

No. 5 Thomas Jefferson-Richmond vs. No. 4 Armstrong

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Thomas Jefferson-Richmond (5-5) 107.345 (3) 1539.117 (8) vs. No. 4 Armstrong (8-2) 106.374 (4) 1653.195 (2)

Region 2B

Strasburg leads both models and shares a bye with Stuarts Draft. Of the two opening games, Fort Defiance versus Central-Woodstock is the one where the models disagree.

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Strasburg 8-2 104.837 (1) 1666.887 (1)
No. 2 Stuarts Draft 7-3 101.092 (2) 1577.448 (3)
No. 3 Buckingham County 7-3 99.200 (3) 1613.936 (2)
No. 4 Fort Defiance 5-5 98.811 (4) 1492.242 (5)
No. 5 Central-Woodstock 4-6 97.295 (5) 1527.317 (4)
No. 6 Madison County 4-6 92.849 (6) 1459.752 (6)

First round

First-round byes. No. 1 Strasburg and No. 2 Stuarts Draft.

No. 6 Madison County vs. No. 3 Buckingham County

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Madison County (4-6) 92.849 (6) 1459.752 (6) vs. No. 3 Buckingham County (7-3) 99.200 (3) 1613.936 (2)

No. 5 Central-Woodstock vs. No. 4 Fort Defiance

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Central-Woodstock (4-6) 97.295 (5) 1527.317 (4) vs. No. 4 Fort Defiance (5-5) 98.811 (4) 1492.242 (5)

Region 2C

Both models put Radford, Glenvar and Floyd County in seed order at the top. The first disagreement is at No. 4 versus No. 5, where Martinsville brings the stronger power rating and Appomattox County the higher Elo.

Seed differences of two or more places. No. 4 Martinsville (power #4, Elo #6), No. 6 Gretna (power #8, Elo #5), No. 8 Patrick County (power #6, Elo #7).

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Radford 8-2 108.603 (1) 1624.593 (1)
No. 2 Glenvar 6-4 104.538 (2) 1608.712 (2)
No. 3 Floyd County 6-4 103.762 (3) 1566.481 (3)
No. 4 Martinsville 5-5 102.655 (4) 1501.204 (6)
No. 5 Appomattox County 6-4 97.857 (5) 1549.035 (4)
No. 6 Gretna 4-6 92.643 (8) 1531.841 (5)
No. 7 James River-Buchanan 3-7 96.714 (7) 1458.765 (8)
No. 8 Patrick County 4-6 97.182 (6) 1463.196 (7)

First round

No. 8 Patrick County vs. No. 1 Radford

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8 Patrick County (4-6) 97.182 (6) 1463.196 (7) vs. No. 1 Radford (8-2) 108.603 (1) 1624.593 (1)

No. 7 James River-Buchanan vs. No. 2 Glenvar

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7 James River-Buchanan (3-7) 96.714 (7) 1458.765 (8) vs. No. 2 Glenvar (6-4) 104.538 (2) 1608.712 (2)

No. 6 Gretna vs. No. 3 Floyd County

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Gretna (4-6) 92.643 (8) 1531.841 (5) vs. No. 3 Floyd County (6-4) 103.762 (3) 1566.481 (3)

No. 5 Appomattox County vs. No. 4 Martinsville

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Appomattox County (6-4) 97.857 (5) 1549.035 (4) vs. No. 4 Martinsville (5-5) 102.655 (4) 1501.204 (6)

Region 2D

Graham, Gate City, Ridgeview and Union are separated by fewer than 2.5 power-rating points. Union leads the region in Elo from the No. 3 seed, while Graham has the best power rating.

Seed differences of two or more places. No. 1 Graham (power #1, Elo #3), No. 3 Union (power #4, Elo #1), No. 4 Gate City (power #2, Elo #4), No. 6 Virginia High (power #8, Elo #6).

Seed School Record Power Elo
No. 1 Graham 9-1 107.555 (1) 1641.748 (3)
No. 2 Ridgeview 8-2 105.521 (3) 1646.492 (2)
No. 3 Union 8-2 105.103 (4) 1673.293 (1)
No. 4 Gate City 7-3 105.604 (2) 1605.184 (4)
No. 5 Southern Gap 7-3 97.848 (5) 1576.364 (5)
No. 6 Virginia High 5-5 94.781 (8) 1514.368 (6)
No. 7 Central-Wise 5-5 96.413 (6) 1463.038 (8)
No. 8 Lee 5-5 95.159 (7) 1471.974 (7)

First round

No. 8 Lee vs. No. 1 Graham

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 8 Lee (5-5) 95.159 (7) 1471.974 (7) vs. No. 1 Graham (9-1) 107.555 (1) 1641.748 (3)

No. 7 Central-Wise vs. No. 2 Ridgeview

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 7 Central-Wise (5-5) 96.413 (6) 1463.038 (8) vs. No. 2 Ridgeview (8-2) 105.521 (3) 1646.492 (2)

No. 6 Virginia High vs. No. 3 Union

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 6 Virginia High (5-5) 94.781 (8) 1514.368 (6) vs. No. 3 Union (8-2) 105.103 (4) 1673.293 (1)

No. 5 Southern Gap vs. No. 4 Gate City

Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank) vs. Seed School Power Rating (Rank) Elo Rating (Rank)
No. 5 Southern Gap (7-3) 97.848 (5) 1576.364 (5) vs. No. 4 Gate City (7-3) 105.604 (2) 1605.184 (4)