Strasburg and Radford lead their regions in both ratings. Region 2D has four teams within 2.5 power-rating points, and Region 2A’s top seed shares the model lead with Poquoson.
Power ratings, Elo and records come from the Beyond the Standings Week 11 rankings. The ranks below are recalculated among each region’s playoff teams. Pairings follow the published opening-round schedule.
Highest-rated teams outside the bracket
Clarke County (3-7) ranked sixth in power and seventh in Elo in Region 2B, which took six teams. Lebanon (5-5) had the seventh-best Elo in Region 2D and ranked ninth in power, just outside the eight-team field by that measure.
Region 2A
Unbeaten Central Lunenburg leads in Elo, while Poquoson leads in power. No. 5 Thomas Jefferson has the third-best power rating and the lowest Elo in the bracket, making its matchup with Armstrong particularly hard to read.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 5 Thomas Jefferson-Richmond (power #3, Elo #8), No. 3 King William (power #5, Elo #4), No. 4 Armstrong (power #4, Elo #2), No. 8 Randolph-Henry (power #8, Elo #6).
| Seed | School | Record | Power | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 1 | Central Lunenburg | 10-0 | 107.844 (2) | 1676.078 (1) |
| No. 2 | Poquoson | 8-1 | 110.200 (1) | 1636.695 (3) |
| No. 3 | King William | 8-2 | 102.962 (5) | 1600.844 (4) |
| No. 4 | Armstrong | 8-2 | 106.374 (4) | 1653.195 (2) |
| No. 5 | Thomas Jefferson-Richmond | 5-5 | 107.345 (3) | 1539.117 (8) |
| No. 6 | Southampton | 7-3 | 99.807 (6) | 1594.522 (5) |
| No. 7 | Nottoway | 6-4 | 96.568 (7) | 1550.923 (7) |
| No. 8 | Randolph-Henry | 7-3 | 94.250 (8) | 1561.231 (6) |
First round
No. 8 Randolph-Henry vs. No. 1 Central Lunenburg
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 8 | Randolph-Henry (7-3) | 94.250 (8) | 1561.231 (6) | vs. | No. 1 | Central Lunenburg (10-0) | 107.844 (2) | 1676.078 (1) |
No. 7 Nottoway vs. No. 2 Poquoson
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 7 | Nottoway (6-4) | 96.568 (7) | 1550.923 (7) | vs. | No. 2 | Poquoson (8-1) | 110.200 (1) | 1636.695 (3) |
No. 6 Southampton vs. No. 3 King William
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 6 | Southampton (7-3) | 99.807 (6) | 1594.522 (5) | vs. | No. 3 | King William (8-2) | 102.962 (5) | 1600.844 (4) |
No. 5 Thomas Jefferson-Richmond vs. No. 4 Armstrong
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 5 | Thomas Jefferson-Richmond (5-5) | 107.345 (3) | 1539.117 (8) | vs. | No. 4 | Armstrong (8-2) | 106.374 (4) | 1653.195 (2) |
Region 2B
Strasburg leads both models and shares a bye with Stuarts Draft. Of the two opening games, Fort Defiance versus Central-Woodstock is the one where the models disagree.
| Seed | School | Record | Power | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 1 | Strasburg | 8-2 | 104.837 (1) | 1666.887 (1) |
| No. 2 | Stuarts Draft | 7-3 | 101.092 (2) | 1577.448 (3) |
| No. 3 | Buckingham County | 7-3 | 99.200 (3) | 1613.936 (2) |
| No. 4 | Fort Defiance | 5-5 | 98.811 (4) | 1492.242 (5) |
| No. 5 | Central-Woodstock | 4-6 | 97.295 (5) | 1527.317 (4) |
| No. 6 | Madison County | 4-6 | 92.849 (6) | 1459.752 (6) |
First round
First-round byes. No. 1 Strasburg and No. 2 Stuarts Draft.
No. 6 Madison County vs. No. 3 Buckingham County
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 6 | Madison County (4-6) | 92.849 (6) | 1459.752 (6) | vs. | No. 3 | Buckingham County (7-3) | 99.200 (3) | 1613.936 (2) |
No. 5 Central-Woodstock vs. No. 4 Fort Defiance
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 5 | Central-Woodstock (4-6) | 97.295 (5) | 1527.317 (4) | vs. | No. 4 | Fort Defiance (5-5) | 98.811 (4) | 1492.242 (5) |
Region 2C
Both models put Radford, Glenvar and Floyd County in seed order at the top. The first disagreement is at No. 4 versus No. 5, where Martinsville brings the stronger power rating and Appomattox County the higher Elo.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 4 Martinsville (power #4, Elo #6), No. 6 Gretna (power #8, Elo #5), No. 8 Patrick County (power #6, Elo #7).
| Seed | School | Record | Power | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 1 | Radford | 8-2 | 108.603 (1) | 1624.593 (1) |
| No. 2 | Glenvar | 6-4 | 104.538 (2) | 1608.712 (2) |
| No. 3 | Floyd County | 6-4 | 103.762 (3) | 1566.481 (3) |
| No. 4 | Martinsville | 5-5 | 102.655 (4) | 1501.204 (6) |
| No. 5 | Appomattox County | 6-4 | 97.857 (5) | 1549.035 (4) |
| No. 6 | Gretna | 4-6 | 92.643 (8) | 1531.841 (5) |
| No. 7 | James River-Buchanan | 3-7 | 96.714 (7) | 1458.765 (8) |
| No. 8 | Patrick County | 4-6 | 97.182 (6) | 1463.196 (7) |
First round
No. 8 Patrick County vs. No. 1 Radford
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 8 | Patrick County (4-6) | 97.182 (6) | 1463.196 (7) | vs. | No. 1 | Radford (8-2) | 108.603 (1) | 1624.593 (1) |
No. 7 James River-Buchanan vs. No. 2 Glenvar
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 7 | James River-Buchanan (3-7) | 96.714 (7) | 1458.765 (8) | vs. | No. 2 | Glenvar (6-4) | 104.538 (2) | 1608.712 (2) |
No. 6 Gretna vs. No. 3 Floyd County
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 6 | Gretna (4-6) | 92.643 (8) | 1531.841 (5) | vs. | No. 3 | Floyd County (6-4) | 103.762 (3) | 1566.481 (3) |
No. 5 Appomattox County vs. No. 4 Martinsville
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 5 | Appomattox County (6-4) | 97.857 (5) | 1549.035 (4) | vs. | No. 4 | Martinsville (5-5) | 102.655 (4) | 1501.204 (6) |
Region 2D
Graham, Gate City, Ridgeview and Union are separated by fewer than 2.5 power-rating points. Union leads the region in Elo from the No. 3 seed, while Graham has the best power rating.
Seed differences of two or more places. No. 1 Graham (power #1, Elo #3), No. 3 Union (power #4, Elo #1), No. 4 Gate City (power #2, Elo #4), No. 6 Virginia High (power #8, Elo #6).
| Seed | School | Record | Power | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 1 | Graham | 9-1 | 107.555 (1) | 1641.748 (3) |
| No. 2 | Ridgeview | 8-2 | 105.521 (3) | 1646.492 (2) |
| No. 3 | Union | 8-2 | 105.103 (4) | 1673.293 (1) |
| No. 4 | Gate City | 7-3 | 105.604 (2) | 1605.184 (4) |
| No. 5 | Southern Gap | 7-3 | 97.848 (5) | 1576.364 (5) |
| No. 6 | Virginia High | 5-5 | 94.781 (8) | 1514.368 (6) |
| No. 7 | Central-Wise | 5-5 | 96.413 (6) | 1463.038 (8) |
| No. 8 | Lee | 5-5 | 95.159 (7) | 1471.974 (7) |
First round
No. 8 Lee vs. No. 1 Graham
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 8 | Lee (5-5) | 95.159 (7) | 1471.974 (7) | vs. | No. 1 | Graham (9-1) | 107.555 (1) | 1641.748 (3) |
No. 7 Central-Wise vs. No. 2 Ridgeview
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 7 | Central-Wise (5-5) | 96.413 (6) | 1463.038 (8) | vs. | No. 2 | Ridgeview (8-2) | 105.521 (3) | 1646.492 (2) |
No. 6 Virginia High vs. No. 3 Union
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 6 | Virginia High (5-5) | 94.781 (8) | 1514.368 (6) | vs. | No. 3 | Union (8-2) | 105.103 (4) | 1673.293 (1) |
No. 5 Southern Gap vs. No. 4 Gate City
| Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) | vs. | Seed | School | Power Rating (Rank) | Elo Rating (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 5 | Southern Gap (7-3) | 97.848 (5) | 1576.364 (5) | vs. | No. 4 | Gate City (7-3) | 105.604 (2) | 1605.184 (4) |