Buffalo moves from third to first in my NFL power ratings after Week 9. San Francisco stays second, Minnesota drops to third, and Denver and Jacksonville round out the top five.
Power Ratings
Buffalo leads at 105.537, just 0.336 ahead of San Francisco at 105.201. Both teams are 7–1. Minnesota remains in the top three at 104.390.
| Rank | Team | Won | Lost | Tied | PF | PA | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUFFALO |
7 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 187 | 105.537 | 99.881 |
| 2 |  SAN FRANCISCO |
7 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 156 | 105.201 | 99.539 |
| 3 |  MINNESOTA |
6 | 2 | 0 | 146 | 116 | 104.390 | 100.952 |
| 4 |  DENVER |
7 | 2 | 0 | 198 | 186 | 104.263 | 100.968 |
| 5 |  JACKSONVILLE |
6 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 121 | 104.016 | 99.305 |
| 6 |  CHICAGO |
7 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 184 | 103.960 | 100.311 |
| 7 |  DETROIT |
6 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 189 | 103.715 | 100.411 |
| 8 |  GREEN BAY |
6 | 3 | 0 | 216 | 191 | 103.028 | 100.908 |
| 9 |  KANSAS CITY |
6 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 143 | 103.004 | 99.004 |
| 10 |  PITTSBURGH |
6 | 2 | 0 | 180 | 144 | 102.952 | 99.826 |
| 11 |  CINCINNATI |
6 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 175 | 102.739 | 98.912 |
| 12 |  NEW ENGLAND |
5 | 4 | 0 | 211 | 207 | 102.400 | 101.627 |
| 13 |  SEATTLE |
5 | 4 | 0 | 202 | 162 | 102.218 | 100.383 |
| 14 |  LA RAMS |
5 | 4 | 0 | 214 | 181 | 100.694 | 99.412 |
| 15 |  TAMPA BAY |
3 | 6 | 0 | 202 | 178 | 100.244 | 101.468 |
| 16 |  CAROLINA |
3 | 5 | 0 | 199 | 219 | 99.821 | 101.073 |
| 17 |  CLEVELAND |
5 | 4 | 0 | 161 | 196 | 99.651 | 99.661 |
| 18 |  LAS VEGAS |
4 | 5 | 0 | 238 | 268 | 99.439 | 100.264 |
| 19 |  ATLANTA |
3 | 6 | 0 | 188 | 223 | 99.309 | 101.688 |
| 20 |  NEW ORLEANS |
3 | 5 | 0 | 185 | 216 | 99.152 | 100.831 |
| 21 |  NY GIANTS |
5 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 172 | 99.098 | 96.956 |
| 22 |  BALTIMORE |
4 | 5 | 0 | 189 | 236 | 98.096 | 99.552 |
| 23 |  ARIZONA |
3 | 6 | 0 | 178 | 255 | 97.863 | 100.851 |
| 24 |  HOUSTON |
3 | 5 | 0 | 209 | 192 | 97.418 | 98.731 |
| 25 |  DALLAS |
4 | 5 | 0 | 246 | 236 | 97.360 | 97.958 |
| 26 |  NY JETS |
2 | 7 | 0 | 182 | 223 | 96.976 | 100.495 |
| 27 |  MIAMI |
1 | 7 | 0 | 126 | 200 | 96.521 | 102.233 |
| 28 |  WASHINGTON |
2 | 5 | 1 | 172 | 202 | 96.003 | 98.608 |
| 29 |  INDIANAPOLIS |
2 | 7 | 0 | 184 | 249 | 95.461 | 99.553 |
| 30 |  PHILADELPHIA |
2 | 7 | 0 | 148 | 221 | 94.415 | 98.855 |
| 31 |  LA CHARGERS |
0 | 8 | 0 | 121 | 219 | 92.894 | 101.304 |
| 32 |  TENNESSEE |
1 | 7 | 0 | 144 | 199 | 92.742 | 97.982 |
The largest rises this week are LA Rams (17 to 14), Buffalo (3 to 1), Denver (6 to 4). The largest falls are New England (9 to 12), Cleveland (14 to 17), Minnesota (1 to 3).
Elo Ratings Top 10
Jacksonville leads Elo at 1563.495, with Buffalo second at 1559.914. The gap is 3.581 points. Elo carries forward from the previous season, giving it a longer history than the current-season power ratings.
| Rank | Team | Record | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JACKSONVILLE |
6–2 | 1563.495 |
| 2 | BUFFALO |
7–1 | 1559.914 |
| 3 | CINCINNATI |
6–2 | 1553.865 |
| 4 | SAN FRANCISCO |
7–1 | 1553.460 |
| 5 | CHICAGO |
7–2 | 1551.767 |
| 6 | KANSAS CITY |
6–2 | 1538.489 |
| 7 | DETROIT |
6–2 | 1536.323 |
| 8 | PITTSBURGH |
6–2 | 1533.453 |
| 9 | DENVER |
7–2 | 1531.203 |
| 10 | GREEN BAY |
6–3 | 1528.501 |
Wins Above Average Top 5
Wins above average compares actual wins with the wins a league-average team would be expected to earn against the same opponents. Ties count as half a win. These rankings use the version with home-field advantage included.
Denver leads at +3.020, just ahead of Buffalo at +2.980. Both have seven wins, but the model expects slightly fewer wins from an average team facing Denver’s schedule.
| Rank | Team | Wins | Expected Wins (HFA) | WAA (HFA) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DENVER |
7.0 | 3.980 | +3.020 |
| 2 | BUFFALO |
7.0 | 4.020 | +2.980 |
| 3 | SAN FRANCISCO |
7.0 | 4.246 | +2.754 |
| 4 | CHICAGO |
7.0 | 4.339 | +2.661 |
| 5 | MINNESOTA |
6.0 | 3.591 | +2.409 |
Full wins above average rankings
Team Offense Top 5
Scoring Average
Buf leads this group at 32.00 points scored per game, followed by Cin, Sf, Jax, Det. This is the raw scoring average, without an opponent adjustment. Higher averages are better.
| Rank | Team | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF |
32.00 |
| 2 | CIN |
30.00 |
| 3 | SF |
29.38 |
| 4 | JAX |
28.62 |
| 5 | DET |
27.75 |
Adjusted Scoring
Buf ranks first at +9.55, followed by Cin, Sf, Jax, Chi. Higher values are better: positive adjusted scoring means scoring above the opposing defenses’ usual allowance.
| Rank | Team | Points Per Game | Adjusted Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF |
32.00 | +9.55 |
| 2 | CIN |
30.00 | +8.82 |
| 3 | SF |
29.38 | +6.08 |
| 4 | JAX |
28.62 | +5.53 |
| 5 | CHI |
26.78 | +5.42 |
Team Defense Top 5
Scoring Average Allowed
Min leads this group at 14.50 points allowed per game, followed by Jax, Kc, Sea, Pit. This is the raw scoring average, without an opponent adjustment. Lower averages are better.
| Rank | Team | Points Allowed Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN |
14.50 |
| 2 | JAX |
15.12 |
| 3 | KC |
17.88 |
| 4 | SEA |
18.00 |
| 5 | PIT |
18.00 |
Adjusted Scoring
Min ranks first at +10.80, followed by Jax, Sea, Pit, Tb. Higher values are better: positive adjusted scoring means holding opponents below their usual scoring output.
| Rank | Team | Points Allowed Per Game | Adjusted Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN |
14.50 | +10.80 |
| 2 | JAX |
15.12 | +7.94 |
| 3 | SEA |
18.00 | +5.13 |
| 4 | PIT |
18.00 | +4.55 |
| 5 | TB |
19.78 | +4.32 |
Quarterback Ratings Top 5
QER combines passing efficiency and production with a bonus for qualifying rushing performance.
Brock Purdy leads at 90.4, with Joe Burrow close behind at 89.7. Jared Goff is third at 83.5.
| Rank | Quarterback | Team | QER | Pass Yards | Pass TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | |
90.4 | 1980 | 17 | 5 |
| 2 | Joe Burrow | |
89.7 | 2386 | 23 | 6 |
| 3 | Jared Goff | |
83.5 | 2134 | 15 | 2 |
| 4 | Josh Allen | |
82.3 | 2027 | 12 | 6 |
| 5 | Trevor Lawrence | |
79.1 | 1932 | 18 | 4 |
Full quarterback ratings and methodology
Skill Player Ratings Top 5
My Scrimmage Performance Ratings (SPR) compare players within their positions using production, per-game output, efficiency and ball security. Each position gets its own top five.
Running Backs
Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 96.4, with 1132 scrimmage yards and 11 touchdowns. Kenneth Walker III ranks second at 91.2, followed by Bijan Robinson at 80.5.
| Rank | Player | Team | Scrimmage Yards | TD | SPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | |
1132 | 11 | 96.4 |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | |
1044 | 11 | 91.2 |
| 3 | Bijan Robinson | |
1130 | 6 | 80.5 |
| 4 | James Cook | |
924 | 8 | 75.2 |
| 5 | Jaylen Warren | |
998 | 3 | 71.6 |
Wide Receivers
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads at 96.3, with 1065 scrimmage yards and 9 touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb ranks second at 78.4, followed by Christian Watson at 77.3.
| Rank | Player | Team | Scrimmage Yards | TD | SPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | |
1065 | 9 | 96.3 |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | |
898 | 7 | 78.4 |
| 3 | Christian Watson | |
879 | 7 | 77.3 |
| 4 | Tee Higgins | |
758 | 6 | 74.9 |
| 5 | Matthew Golden | |
789 | 5 | 69.6 |
Tight Ends
Brock Bowers leads at 95.6, with 660 scrimmage yards and 6 touchdowns. Trey McBride ranks second at 74.5, followed by George Kittle at 70.7.
| Rank | Player | Team | Scrimmage Yards | TD | SPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers | |
660 | 6 | 95.6 |
| 2 | Trey McBride | |
598 | 5 | 74.5 |
| 3 | George Kittle | |
483 | 5 | 70.7 |
| 4 | Isaiah Likely | |
448 | 6 | 70.6 |
| 5 | Travis Kelce | |
483 | 3 | 68.8 |
Full skill player ratings and methodology
Strength of Schedule
Miami has played the toughest schedule in my power ratings at 102.233, followed by Atlanta at 101.688. New England, Tampa Bay, and the Los Angeles Chargers complete the top five.
The Giants have played the easiest schedule so far, followed by Dallas, Tennessee, Washington, and Houston. These ratings describe games already played, not the remaining schedule. Opponent ratings can change as more games are added, shifting a team’s rating even when its own record stays the same.
All of the team and player rankings are available on the 2026 NFL rankings page.