Minnesota moves to the top of my NFL power ratings after Week 6, ahead of Kansas City and San Francisco. All three remain unbeaten: the Vikings and Chiefs are 5–0, while the 49ers are 6–0. New England climbs into fourth, with Denver holding fifth.

Like last week’s post, this overview includes the full power rankings, the Elo top 10 and quick top-five looks at wins above average, team offense, team defense, quarterbacks and skill players. These tables preserve the Week 6 snapshot from my October 20 ratings update; the linked ratings pages will continue to update during the season.

Power Ratings

Minnesota climbs from third to first at 107.435, despite having no additional game in this update. Changes in opponents’ ratings can move a team’s rating even when its own record stays the same. Kansas City holds second at 106.964, while San Francisco slips from first to third at 106.682. The gap between first and third is just 0.753.

New England moves from sixth to fourth at 103.624. Denver is only 0.048 behind the Patriots, and Jacksonville is another 0.009 back in sixth.

Rank Team Won Lost Tied PF PA Rating SOS
1 MINNESOTA 5 0 0 109 64 107.435 99.619
2 KANSAS CITY 5 0 0 140 83 106.964 98.050
3 SAN FRANCISCO 6 0 0 177 110 106.682 98.451
4 NEW ENGLAND 4 2 0 136 113 103.624 101.544
5 DENVER 4 2 0 114 125 103.576 101.755
6 JACKSONVILLE 4 2 0 154 104 103.567 100.615
7 CHICAGO 4 2 0 150 119 103.392 101.282
8 BUFFALO 5 1 0 197 171 103.380 99.223
9 GREEN BAY 4 2 0 127 125 102.572 100.579
10 CAROLINA 3 2 0 146 123 102.411 100.558
11 CLEVELAND 4 2 0 106 122 102.020 100.725
12 PITTSBURGH 4 2 0 137 128 101.719 100.016
13 DETROIT 3 2 0 164 148 101.359 100.096
14 CINCINNATI 3 2 0 128 109 100.755 99.173
15 SEATTLE 3 3 0 148 122 100.692 99.922
16 LAS VEGAS 3 3 0 162 162 100.649 100.349
17 BALTIMORE 4 2 0 156 132 99.615 97.633
18 ATLANTA 2 4 0 142 153 99.387 101.391
19 NY JETS 2 4 0 112 122 99.258 100.994
20 LA RAMS 2 4 0 135 138 98.848 100.724
21 NEW ORLEANS 2 4 0 152 178 98.637 100.955
22 TAMPA BAY 1 5 0 119 138 97.779 101.788
23 NY GIANTS 3 2 1 136 140 97.284 96.430
24 HOUSTON 2 4 0 144 143 97.085 98.910
25 ARIZONA 2 4 0 126 178 96.793 99.773
26 PHILADELPHIA 2 4 0 106 137 96.631 99.383
27 INDIANAPOLIS 2 4 0 144 164 96.534 98.910
28 DALLAS 2 4 0 151 159 96.225 98.236
29 MIAMI 0 5 0 70 132 95.714 104.497
30 WASHINGTON 1 4 1 132 172 95.081 99.008
31 LA CHARGERS 0 6 0 90 151 93.776 102.009
32 TENNESSEE 1 5 0 84 129 92.998 97.734

Houston makes the biggest climb, rising six places from 30th to 24th. Arizona moves from 29th to 25th, and Detroit climbs from 17th to 13th. Indianapolis falls six spots to 27th, while the Rams drop five places to 20th.

Full power ratings

Elo Ratings Top 10

Seattle remains first in Elo at 1612.229, with San Francisco moving ahead of Jacksonville into second. New England rises to third, Jacksonville falls to fourth, and Buffalo holds fifth. Kansas City returns to the top 10 as Baltimore drops out.

Seattle is 15th in power but first in Elo. Elo carries forward from the previous season, so it brings a longer history into the rankings than the current-season power ratings.

Rank Team Record Elo
1 SEATTLE 3–3 1612.229
2 SAN FRANCISCO 6–0 1587.818
3 NEW ENGLAND 4–2 1582.112
4 JACKSONVILLE 4–2 1580.088
5 BUFFALO 5–1 1577.610
6 DENVER 4–2 1553.243
7 MINNESOTA 5–0 1552.413
8 LA RAMS 2–4 1551.343
9 HOUSTON 2–4 1541.888
10 KANSAS CITY 5–0 1536.144

Full Elo ratings

Wins Above Average Top 5

Wins above average compares actual wins with the wins a league-average team would be expected to earn against the same opponents. Ties count as half a win. These rankings use the version with home-field advantage included.

San Francisco takes first at +2.471, ahead of Minnesota at +2.405. Kansas City remains third, Buffalo moves into fourth, and Denver holds fifth. Jacksonville falls from fourth to ninth.

Rank Team Wins Expected Wins (HFA) WAA (HFA)
1 SAN FRANCISCO 6.0 3.529 +2.471
2 MINNESOTA 5.0 2.595 +2.405
3 KANSAS CITY 5.0 2.998 +2.002
4 BUFFALO 5.0 3.232 +1.768
5 DENVER 4.0 2.540 +1.460

Full wins above average rankings

Team Offense Top 5

Scoring Average

Buffalo edges ahead of Detroit in scoring average, 32.83 to 32.80 points per game. San Francisco is third at 29.50, followed by Carolina and Kansas City. Scoring average is total points scored divided by games played, without an opponent adjustment.

Rank Team Points Per Game
1 BUF 32.83
2 DET 32.80
3 SF 29.50
4 CAR 29.20
5 KC 28.00

Adjusted Scoring

Buffalo stays first in adjusted scoring at +10.01. Detroit rises to second, followed by Carolina, San Francisco and Jacksonville. Adjusted scoring measures production relative to the defenses each team has faced; higher values are better. Buffalo is scoring 10.01 points per game above its opponents’ defensive benchmark.

Rank Team Points Per Game Adjusted Scoring
1 BUF 32.83 +10.01
2 DET 32.80 +7.51
3 CAR 29.20 +6.72
4 SF 29.50 +5.69
5 JAX 25.67 +5.11

Full team offense ratings

Team Defense Top 5

Scoring Average Allowed

Minnesota continues to allow the fewest points per game at 12.80. Kansas City moves into second at 16.60, followed by Jacksonville, San Francisco and New England. Lower averages are better here.

Rank Team Points Allowed Per Game
1 MIN 12.80
2 KC 16.60
3 JAX 17.33
4 SF 18.33
5 NE 18.83

Adjusted Scoring

Minnesota moves ahead of New England into first in adjusted defense at +9.96. Jacksonville remains third, Cleveland rises into fourth, and Denver holds fifth. Positive adjusted scoring means holding opponents below their usual scoring output; higher values are better. Minnesota is holding opponents 9.96 points per game below their scoring benchmark.

Rank Team Points Allowed Per Game Adjusted Scoring
1 MIN 12.80 +9.96
2 NE 18.83 +7.73
3 JAX 17.33 +4.59
4 CLE 20.33 +4.13
5 DEN 20.83 +4.04

Full team defense ratings

Quarterback Ratings Top 5

Brock Purdy remains first in my Quarterback Efficiency Ratings (QER) at 94.9, with 1,460 passing yards, 14 touchdown passes and two interceptions. Lamar Jackson and Jared Goff hold second and third. Josh Allen moves ahead of Joe Burrow into fourth, while C.J. Stroud enters the top five.

QER combines passing efficiency and production with a bonus for qualifying rushing performance. The current minimum is 84 pass attempts.

Rank Quarterback Team QER Pass Yards Pass TD INT
1 Brock Purdy 94.9 1460 14 2
2 Lamar Jackson 86.5 967 6 1
3 Jared Goff 85.1 1485 12 0
4 Josh Allen 84.6 1504 9 4
5 C.J. Stroud 76.9 1714 9 1

Full quarterback ratings and methodology

Skill Player Ratings Top 5

My Scrimmage Performance Ratings (SPR) compare players within their positions using production, per-game output, efficiency and ball security. Each position gets its own top five.

Jahmyr Gibbs stays first among running backs at 95.0, with Kenneth Walker III closing the gap at 92.5. James Cook and Jonathan Taylor enter the top five. Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains first among receivers with 733 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns. Brock Bowers holds the tight end lead, while Isaiah Likely moves into second.

Running Backs

Rank Player Team Scrimmage Yards TD SPR
1 Jahmyr Gibbs 747 9 95.0
2 Kenneth Walker III 760 8 92.5
3 Bijan Robinson 785 5 79.7
4 James Cook 716 6 77.9
5 Jonathan Taylor 655 7 74.2

Wide Receivers

Rank Player Team Scrimmage Yards TD SPR
1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba 733 7 95.9
2 Christian Watson 538 6 75.1
3 CeeDee Lamb 571 4 70.8
4 Chris Olave 580 2 68.1
5 Davante Adams 480 4 65.1

Tight Ends

Rank Player Team Scrimmage Yards TD SPR
1 Brock Bowers 382 3 87.7
2 Isaiah Likely 383 5 84.9
3 George Kittle 337 5 79.4
4 Sam LaPorta 316 3 72.2
5 Trey McBride 361 3 70.1

Full skill player ratings and methodology

Strength of Schedule

Miami has played the toughest schedule in my power ratings at 104.497, followed by the Chargers at 102.009. Tampa Bay, Denver and New England complete the top five.

The Giants have played the easiest schedule so far, followed by Baltimore, Tennessee, Kansas City and Dallas. These ratings describe games already played, not the remaining schedule. With teams having played five or six games, the rankings still have plenty of room to move as we learn more about each opponent.

All of the team and player rankings are available on the 2026 NFL rankings page.