Minnesota remains first in my NFL power ratings after Week 7 and has opened a wider gap over the field. The Vikings are 6–0 at 107.488, with San Francisco second and Chicago climbing into third. Kansas City falls from second to fifth after its first loss.
Like last week’s post, this overview includes the full power rankings, the Elo top 10 and top-five looks at wins above average, team offense, team defense, quarterbacks and skill players. These tables preserve the Week 7 snapshot from my October 27 ratings update; the linked ratings pages will continue to update during the season.
Power Ratings
Minnesota holds first at 107.488, a lead of 3.044 over San Francisco at 104.444. The 49ers rise from third to second despite moving to 6–1 and losing rating points; Kansas City’s larger drop changes the order behind Minnesota. The gap between first and third was just 0.753 last week.
Chicago climbs four places to third at 103.903 with a 5–2 record. Jacksonville moves from sixth to fourth at 103.369 without adding a game, while Kansas City is fifth at 103.190. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are separated by just 0.001 in ninth and tenth.
| Rank | Team | Won | Lost | Tied | PF | PA | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MINNESOTA |
6 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 74 | 107.488 | 99.753 |
| 2 |  SAN FRANCISCO |
6 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 139 | 104.444 | 99.238 |
| 3 |  CHICAGO |
5 | 2 | 0 | 180 | 143 | 103.903 | 101.144 |
| 4 |  JACKSONVILLE |
4 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 104 | 103.369 | 100.375 |
| 5 |  KANSAS CITY |
5 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 103 | 103.190 | 98.439 |
| 6 |  BUFFALO |
5 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 171 | 103.065 | 98.898 |
| 7 |  DENVER |
5 | 2 | 0 | 144 | 141 | 102.916 | 100.400 |
| 8 |  NEW ENGLAND |
4 | 3 | 0 | 160 | 143 | 102.680 | 101.672 |
| 9 |  PITTSBURGH |
4 | 2 | 0 | 137 | 128 | 102.409 | 100.708 |
| 10 |  CINCINNATI |
4 | 2 | 0 | 163 | 122 | 102.408 | 99.822 |
| 11 |  GREEN BAY |
4 | 3 | 0 | 144 | 145 | 102.221 | 101.407 |
| 12 |  DETROIT |
4 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 165 | 102.021 | 100.024 |
| 13 |  SEATTLE |
4 | 3 | 0 | 168 | 125 | 101.969 | 99.843 |
| 14 |  CLEVELAND |
5 | 2 | 0 | 133 | 146 | 101.647 | 99.615 |
| 15 |  CAROLINA |
3 | 3 | 0 | 159 | 166 | 100.975 | 100.706 |
| 16 |  ATLANTA |
3 | 4 | 0 | 171 | 173 | 100.910 | 101.749 |
| 17 |  TAMPA BAY |
2 | 5 | 0 | 162 | 151 | 100.010 | 102.097 |
| 18 |  LA RAMS |
3 | 4 | 0 | 170 | 159 | 99.566 | 100.084 |
| 19 |  BALTIMORE |
4 | 3 | 0 | 169 | 167 | 99.388 | 98.735 |
| 20 |  LAS VEGAS |
3 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 197 | 98.998 | 99.652 |
| 21 |  NEW ORLEANS |
2 | 4 | 0 | 152 | 178 | 98.900 | 101.205 |
| 22 |  NY GIANTS |
4 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 161 | 98.427 | 96.917 |
| 23 |  NY JETS |
2 | 5 | 0 | 137 | 150 | 97.990 | 100.362 |
| 24 |  DALLAS |
3 | 4 | 0 | 189 | 180 | 97.528 | 98.293 |
| 25 |  ARIZONA |
2 | 5 | 0 | 142 | 208 | 96.996 | 100.373 |
| 26 |  MIAMI |
1 | 5 | 0 | 98 | 157 | 96.898 | 102.420 |
| 27 |  HOUSTON |
2 | 5 | 0 | 165 | 170 | 96.856 | 99.221 |
| 28 |  INDIANAPOLIS |
2 | 5 | 0 | 154 | 180 | 96.588 | 99.701 |
| 29 |  PHILADELPHIA |
2 | 5 | 0 | 127 | 175 | 95.741 | 99.131 |
| 30 |  WASHINGTON |
1 | 4 | 1 | 132 | 172 | 95.411 | 99.116 |
| 31 |  LA CHARGERS |
0 | 6 | 0 | 90 | 151 | 93.267 | 101.189 |
| 32 |  TENNESSEE |
1 | 6 | 0 | 108 | 156 | 93.162 | 98.091 |
Tampa Bay makes the biggest climb, moving five places from 22nd to 17th. Chicago, Cincinnati and Dallas each gain four spots. Carolina has the largest fall, dropping from tenth to 15th, while New England and the Jets each slip four places.
Elo Ratings Top 10
Seattle remains first in Elo at 1620.718, ahead of Jacksonville and Buffalo. San Francisco falls from second to fifth, while Chicago and Detroit enter the top 10. Houston and Kansas City drop out.
Seattle is 13th in power but first in Elo. Elo carries forward from the previous season, bringing a longer history into the rankings than the current-season power ratings.
| Rank | Team | Record | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEATTLE |
4–3 | 1620.718 |
| 2 | JACKSONVILLE |
4–2 | 1580.088 |
| 3 | BUFFALO |
5–1 | 1577.610 |
| 4 | NEW ENGLAND |
4–3 | 1574.510 |
| 5 | SAN FRANCISCO |
6–1 | 1573.731 |
| 6 | DENVER |
5–2 | 1562.675 |
| 7 | LA RAMS |
3–4 | 1561.427 |
| 8 | MINNESOTA |
6–0 | 1556.890 |
| 9 | CHICAGO |
5–2 | 1543.290 |
| 10 | DETROIT |
4–2 | 1533.497 |
Wins Above Average Top 5
Wins above average compares actual wins with the wins a league-average team would be expected to earn against the same opponents. Ties count as half a win. These rankings use the version with home-field advantage included.
Minnesota moves ahead of San Francisco into first at +2.909. Chicago rises into third at +1.864, with Buffalo and Denver completing the top five. Minnesota has six wins against an expectation of 3.091 for an average team facing its schedule.
| Rank | Team | Wins | Expected Wins (HFA) | WAA (HFA) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MINNESOTA |
6.0 | 3.091 | +2.909 |
| 2 | SAN FRANCISCO |
6.0 | 3.761 | +2.239 |
| 3 | CHICAGO |
5.0 | 3.136 | +1.864 |
| 4 | BUFFALO |
5.0 | 3.321 | +1.679 |
| 5 | DENVER |
5.0 | 3.347 | +1.653 |
Full wins above average rankings
Team Offense Top 5
Scoring Average
Buffalo remains first in scoring average at 32.83 points per game, followed by Detroit and San Francisco. Cincinnati and Dallas complete the top five. Scoring average is total points scored divided by games played, without an opponent adjustment.
| Rank | Team | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF |
32.83 |
| 2 | DET |
30.67 |
| 3 | SF |
28.14 |
| 4 | CIN |
27.17 |
| 5 | DAL |
27.00 |
Adjusted Scoring
Buffalo also leads adjusted scoring at +9.55. Cincinnati rises into second, followed by Detroit, Chicago and San Francisco. Higher values mean scoring more points than the opposing defenses typically allow. Buffalo is scoring 9.55 points per game above that defensive benchmark.
| Rank | Team | Points Per Game | Adjusted Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF |
32.83 | +9.55 |
| 2 | CIN |
27.17 | +5.87 |
| 3 | DET |
30.67 | +5.50 |
| 4 | CHI |
25.71 | +4.72 |
| 5 | SF |
28.14 | +4.52 |
Team Defense Top 5
Scoring Average Allowed
Minnesota allows the fewest points per game at 12.33. Kansas City and Jacksonville follow, with Seattle and Pittsburgh completing the top five. Lower averages are better here.
| Rank | Team | Points Allowed Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN |
12.33 |
| 2 | KC |
17.17 |
| 3 | JAX |
17.33 |
| 4 | SEA |
17.86 |
| 5 | PIT |
19.71 |
Adjusted Scoring
Minnesota remains first in adjusted defense at +11.10, ahead of New England and Jacksonville. Seattle and Green Bay enter the top five. Higher values mean holding opponents further below their usual scoring output; Minnesota is holding opponents 11.10 points per game below that benchmark.
| Rank | Team | Points Allowed Per Game | Adjusted Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN |
12.33 | +11.10 |
| 2 | NE |
20.43 | +5.45 |
| 3 | JAX |
17.33 | +5.37 |
| 4 | SEA |
17.86 | +4.62 |
| 5 | GB |
20.71 | +4.36 |
Quarterback Ratings Top 5
Brock Purdy remains first in my Quarterback Efficiency Ratings (QER) at 95.0, with 1,748 passing yards, 15 touchdown passes and four interceptions. Jared Goff moves from third to second at 90.1, with 14 touchdown passes and no interceptions. Joe Burrow rises to third, Josh Allen holds fourth, and Drake Maye enters the top five.
QER combines passing efficiency and production with a bonus for qualifying rushing performance. The current minimum is 98 pass attempts.
| Rank | Quarterback | Team | QER | Pass Yards | Pass TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | |
95.0 | 1748 | 15 | 4 |
| 2 | Jared Goff | |
90.1 | 1788 | 14 | 0 |
| 3 | Joe Burrow | |
81.6 | 1653 | 15 | 3 |
| 4 | Josh Allen | |
80.8 | 1504 | 9 | 4 |
| 5 | Drake Maye | |
75.1 | 1784 | 13 | 8 |
Full quarterback ratings and methodology
Skill Player Ratings Top 5
My Scrimmage Performance Ratings (SPR) compare players within their positions using production, per-game output, efficiency and ball security. Each position gets its own top five.
Jahmyr Gibbs remains first among running backs at 94.5, with 890 scrimmage yards and nine touchdowns. Kenneth Walker III is second, while Bijan Robinson has 907 scrimmage yards and ranks third. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the receivers at 95.7, with 896 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns. Brock Bowers remains first among tight ends, ahead of George Kittle and Trey McBride.
Running Backs
| Rank | Player | Team | Scrimmage Yards | TD | SPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | |
890 | 9 | 94.5 |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | |
817 | 8 | 87.7 |
| 3 | Bijan Robinson | |
907 | 5 | 80.7 |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | |
765 | 8 | 77.4 |
| 5 | James Cook | |
716 | 6 | 73.2 |
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Player | Team | Scrimmage Yards | TD | SPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | |
896 | 8 | 95.7 |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | |
645 | 6 | 71.3 |
| 3 | Christian Watson | |
595 | 6 | 69.1 |
| 4 | Zay Flowers | |
642 | 3 | 65.8 |
| 5 | Chris Olave | |
636 | 2 | 61.9 |
Tight Ends
| Rank | Player | Team | Scrimmage Yards | TD | SPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers | |
455 | 3 | 86.3 |
| 2 | George Kittle | |
425 | 5 | 80.7 |
| 3 | Trey McBride | |
472 | 4 | 79.9 |
| 4 | Isaiah Likely | |
395 | 5 | 77.2 |
| 5 | Travis Kelce | |
343 | 2 | 66.8 |
Full skill player ratings and methodology
Strength of Schedule
Miami has played the toughest schedule in my power ratings at 102.420, followed by Tampa Bay at 102.097. Atlanta, New England and Green Bay complete the top five.
The Giants have played the easiest schedule so far, followed by Tennessee, Dallas, Kansas City and Baltimore. These ratings describe games already played, not the remaining schedule. With teams having played six or seven games, the rankings can still shift substantially as the season develops.
All of the team and player rankings are available on the 2026 NFL rankings page.