San Francisco stays on top of my NFL power ratings after Week 5, but Kansas City is right behind. Minnesota moves into third, with Jacksonville and Denver completing the top five. The 49ers and Vikings are 5–0, while the Chiefs remain unbeaten at 4–0.

Like last week’s post, this overview includes the full power rankings, the Elo top 10 and quick top-five looks at wins above average, team offense, team defense, quarterbacks and skill players. These tables preserve the Week 5 snapshot from my corrected October 13 ratings update; the linked ratings pages will continue to update during the season.

Power Ratings

San Francisco holds first at 108.339, just 0.176 ahead of Kansas City at 108.163. The 49ers have outscored their opponents 154–93 through five games. Minnesota climbs from fifth to third at 106.946, with only 64 points allowed in its 5–0 start.

Jacksonville stays fourth at 106.373. Denver drops from third to fifth despite improving to 3–2; the Broncos still have the second-toughest schedule in these ratings.

Rank Team Won Lost Tied PF PA Rating SOS
1 SAN FRANCISCO 5 0 0 154 93 108.339 99.660
2 KANSAS CITY 4 0 0 118 77 108.163 100.116
3 MINNESOTA 5 0 0 109 64 106.946 99.290
4 JACKSONVILLE 4 1 0 123 70 106.373 101.638
5 DENVER 3 2 0 97 111 104.699 103.432
6 NEW ENGLAND 3 2 0 110 94 103.970 102.698
7 BUFFALO 4 1 0 164 141 102.753 98.570
8 CHICAGO 3 2 0 119 96 102.563 101.242
9 GREEN BAY 3 2 0 104 112 101.978 101.086
10 PITTSBURGH 3 2 0 111 109 101.679 100.817
11 CAROLINA 2 2 0 121 109 101.633 100.997
12 CLEVELAND 3 2 0 93 112 101.608 101.250
13 SEATTLE 3 2 0 134 105 101.395 99.159
14 LAS VEGAS 3 2 0 132 129 101.290 99.881
15 LA RAMS 2 3 0 119 120 101.001 102.095
16 CINCINNATI 3 2 0 128 109 100.906 99.269
17 DETROIT 3 2 0 164 148 100.458 99.152
18 BALTIMORE 4 1 0 146 119 100.130 96.193
19 ATLANTA 2 3 0 119 122 99.357 100.635
20 NY JETS 2 3 0 93 96 98.646 99.237
21 INDIANAPOLIS 2 3 0 124 138 98.242 99.869
22 TAMPA BAY 1 4 0 100 112 97.919 101.495
23 NEW ORLEANS 1 4 0 118 151 97.754 101.636
24 NY GIANTS 3 1 1 109 106 97.678 95.363
25 PHILADELPHIA 2 3 0 92 112 97.007 98.949
26 MIAMI 0 5 0 70 132 96.233 105.129
27 DALLAS 2 3 0 138 136 96.035 97.020
28 WASHINGTON 1 3 1 115 149 95.233 98.071
29 ARIZONA 1 4 0 108 162 94.972 100.231
30 HOUSTON 1 4 0 110 112 94.138 97.502
31 LA CHARGERS 0 5 0 84 129 93.284 101.022
32 TENNESSEE 0 5 0 58 109 89.576 97.520

Green Bay makes the biggest climb, jumping 14 places from 23rd to ninth. Buffalo rises from 16th to seventh, and New England moves from 11th to sixth. Miami falls from 15th to 26th, while the Giants drop from 13th to 24th with a 3–1–1 record.

Full power ratings

Elo Ratings Top 10

Seattle remains first in Elo at 1618.259, followed by Jacksonville and San Francisco. New England and Buffalo complete the top five. Houston and Baltimore enter the top 10, while Chicago and Kansas City drop out.

Seattle is 13th in power but first in Elo. Elo carries forward from the previous season, so it brings a longer history into the rankings than the current-season power ratings.

Rank Team Record Elo
1 SEATTLE 3–2 1618.259
2 JACKSONVILLE 4–1 1586.779
3 SAN FRANCISCO 5–0 1584.706
4 NEW ENGLAND 3–2 1578.885
5 BUFFALO 4–1 1573.540
6 LA RAMS 2–3 1559.792
7 MINNESOTA 5–0 1552.413
8 DENVER 3–2 1547.212
9 HOUSTON 1–4 1535.197
10 BALTIMORE 4–1 1531.679

Full Elo ratings

Wins Above Average Top 5

Wins above average compares actual wins with the wins a league-average team would be expected to earn against the same opponents. Ties count as half a win. These rankings use the version with home-field advantage included.

Minnesota takes first at +2.354, narrowly ahead of San Francisco at +2.346. Kansas City slips to third, followed by Jacksonville and Denver. An average team would be expected to win 1.763 games against Denver’s schedule; the Broncos’ three wins put them fifth here.

Rank Team Wins Expected Wins (HFA) WAA (HFA)
1 MINNESOTA 5.0 2.646 2.354
2 SAN FRANCISCO 5.0 2.654 2.346
3 KANSAS CITY 4.0 1.991 2.009
4 JACKSONVILLE 4.0 2.121 1.879
5 DENVER 3.0 1.763 1.237

Full wins above average rankings

Team Offense Top 5

Scoring Average

Buffalo and Detroit share the scoring lead at 32.80 points per game. San Francisco is third at 30.80, followed by Carolina and Kansas City. Scoring average is total points scored divided by games played, without an opponent adjustment.

Rank Team Points Per Game
T1 BUF 32.80
T1 DET 32.80
3 SF 30.80
4 CAR 30.25
5 KC 29.50

Adjusted Scoring

Buffalo takes over first in adjusted scoring at +10.85, ahead of Carolina and San Francisco. Detroit and Cincinnati complete the top five. Chicago, last week’s leader, falls to eighth.

Adjusted scoring measures production relative to the defenses each team has faced. Buffalo’s +10.85 means scoring 10.85 points per game above its opponents’ defensive benchmark. Higher values are better.

Rank Team Points Per Game Adjusted Scoring
1 BUF 32.80 +10.85
2 CAR 30.25 +7.94
3 SF 30.80 +7.00
4 DET 32.80 +6.67
5 CIN 25.60 +5.25

Full team offense ratings

Team Defense Top 5

Scoring Average Allowed

Minnesota continues to allow the fewest points per game at 12.80, followed by Jacksonville at 14.00. San Francisco and New England are next. Chicago and the Jets tie for fifth at 19.20, so both are included below. Lower averages are better here.

Rank Team Points Allowed Per Game
1 MIN 12.80
2 JAX 14.00
3 SF 18.60
4 NE 18.80
T5 CHI 19.20
T5 NYJ 19.20

Adjusted Scoring

New England moves into first in adjusted defense at +9.70, just ahead of Minnesota at +9.55. Jacksonville is third, followed by Denver and Chicago.

On defense, positive adjusted scoring means holding opponents below their usual scoring output. Higher adjusted ratings are better. New England’s +9.70 represents holding opponents 9.70 points per game below their scoring benchmark.

Rank Team Points Allowed Per Game Adjusted Scoring
1 NE 18.80 +9.70
2 MIN 12.80 +9.55
3 JAX 14.00 +8.50
4 DEN 22.20 +3.60
5 CHI 19.20 +3.35

Full team defense ratings

Quarterback Ratings Top 5

Brock Purdy remains first in my Quarterback Efficiency Ratings (QER) at 94.9, with 1,196 passing yards, 13 touchdown passes and two interceptions. Lamar Jackson and Jared Goff stay second and third. Joe Burrow moves into fourth, while Josh Allen holds fifth and Bryce Young falls to sixth.

QER combines passing efficiency and production with a bonus for qualifying rushing performance. The current minimum is 70 pass attempts.

Rank Quarterback Team QER Pass Yards Pass TD INT
1 Brock Purdy 94.9 1196 13 2
2 Lamar Jackson 88.5 967 6 1
3 Jared Goff 86.0 1485 12 0
4 Joe Burrow 78.0 1361 11 3
5 Josh Allen 74.6 1249 7 4

Full quarterback ratings and methodology

Skill Player Ratings Top 5

My Scrimmage Performance Ratings (SPR) compare players within their positions using production, per-game output, efficiency and ball security. Each position gets its own top five.

Jahmyr Gibbs retakes first among running backs with 747 scrimmage yards, nine touchdowns and a 96.4 SPR. Jaxon Smith-Njigba stays first among receivers at 96.8, while Christian Watson climbs from fifth to second. Brock Bowers moves ahead of George Kittle among tight ends, with Sam LaPorta taking second.

Running Backs

Rank Player Team Scrimmage Yards TD SPR
1 Jahmyr Gibbs 747 9 96.4
2 Kenneth Walker III 621 6 82.3
3 Bijan Robinson 732 5 81.2
4 Derrick Henry 538 8 72.2
5 Kyren Williams 543 5 68.0

Wide Receivers

Rank Player Team Scrimmage Yards TD SPR
1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba 599 7 96.8
2 Christian Watson 474 6 78.3
3 CeeDee Lamb 501 4 75.1
4 Chris Olave 537 1 72.0
5 Davante Adams 441 4 69.9

Tight Ends

Rank Player Team Scrimmage Yards TD SPR
1 Brock Bowers 312 3 90.2
2 Sam LaPorta 316 3 79.8
3 George Kittle 268 4 76.3
4 Isaiah Likely 284 4 76.2
5 Trey McBride 308 3 72.6

Full skill player ratings and methodology

Strength of Schedule

Miami and Denver have played the two toughest schedules in my power ratings, with SOS ratings of 105.129 and 103.432. New England, the Rams and Jacksonville complete the top five.

The Giants have played the easiest schedule so far, followed by Baltimore, Dallas, Houston and Tennessee. These ratings describe games already played, not the remaining schedule. Five weeks still leave plenty of room for movement as we learn more about each opponent.

All of the team and player rankings are available on the 2026 NFL rankings page.